SportsLine Week 5 AFC East Picks: Jets ‘Have A Great Chance’ Against Falcons, Says Larry Hartstein

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(CBS New York) — The AFC East has precisely 1 winning squad truthful far. The Buffalo Bills person rattled disconnected 3 awesome wins and are playing immoderate of the champion shot of immoderate squad successful the NFL. Given preseason expectations, that’s hardly surprising. What is astonishing is their two-game pb connected the Miami Dolphins, New England Patriots and New York Jets each beryllium astatine 1-3. The Dolphins proceed to conflict with Tua Tagovailoa connected the mend. The Patriots are seeing advancement from their young quarterback, adjacent if it isn’t consistently showing up successful the triumph column. And the Jets conscionable pulled retired a thriller.

The Jets and Patriots each person a decent changeable astatine their 2nd triumph successful Week 5. The Jets conscionable the 1-3 Atlanta Falcons successful London, and the Patriots question to Houston to play the 1-3 Texans. The Dolphins and Bills look much hard matchups, against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers and Kansas City Chiefs respectively.

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SportsLine‘s Larry Hartstein breaks down AFC East matchups successful Week 5.

All times listed are Eastern.

New York Jets @ Atlanta Falcons, Sunday, October 10, 9:30 a.m.

The New York Jets are coming disconnected their archetypal triumph of the season, a 27-24 overtime triumph implicit the Tennessee Titans. They’ll look to transportation that momentum into London, wherever they look the Atlanta Falcons. The Falcons dropped different to the Washington Football Team, allowing backmost Taylor Heinicke to propulsion 2 TD passes successful the last 4 minutes.

“If they [the Jets] tin support their emotions successful cheque and not get excessively precocious aft that large overtime win, I deliberation they person a large chance,” said Hartstein. “The Falcons person fixed up the astir points successful the league. We saw however Washington enactment up a batch of points precocious successful that game. The Falcons secondary is horrible. Zach Wilson made immoderate bigtime throws. He has Jamison Crowder backmost arsenic a information blanket. He has Corey Davis making large plays.”

Wilson is coming is coming disconnected his champion showing truthful acold against the Titans. He piled up 297 yards passing, going 17-27 with 2 touchdowns. And speech from Crowder and Davis, Keelan Cole caught 3 passes for 92 yards. The Jets passing crippled volition look a Falcons defence that can’t halt anybody from scoring.

New England Patriots @ Houston Texans, Sunday, October 10, 1:00 p.m.

The Patriots couldn’t flooded the Tampa Bay Buccaneers successful Tom Brady’s instrumentality to Foxborough. Brady enactment unneurotic a 4th fourth thrust to springiness the Bucs the lead. The Patriots had a changeable astatine the win, but missed a 56-yard tract extremity alternatively than going for the archetypal down.

The Houston Texans are a measurement down from the Buccaneers. And Davis Mills, filling successful for the injured Tyrod Taylor, is surely nary Brady. Mills went 19-28 for 168 yards against the Carolina Panthers and 11-21 for 87 yards and 4 interceptions against the Buffalo Bills.

“Are they [the Patriots] going to get a large triumph implicit a Houston squad that conscionable got blown retired 40-0 to Buffalo and looks similar the worst squad successful the league due to the fact that of their backup backmost Davis Mills, who’s intelligibly not ready?” asked Hartstein.

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“The Patriots are not an explosive team,” Hartstein continued. “You spot them dink and dunk and matriculate their mode down the field. They are not the benignant of squad that’s looking to enactment up 40 points. They don’t play that way. So this is simply a large number. I can’t play it close now. If you forced me, I would instrumentality the Patriots, conscionable due to the fact that of however atrocious Houston is. But I can’t play it due to the fact that their discourtesy is not explosive.”

Mac Jones is steadily improving nether halfway for the Patriots. And the Patriots are giving him plentifulness of opportunities to propulsion the ball, adjacent if they’re mostly abbreviated passes. The Texans let 8.1 yards per walk play, among the worst successful the league. So this could beryllium an accidental for Jones to agelong the tract a little. Mills, connected the different hand, could beryllium successful for different agelong time against a Pats defence that successfully constricted Brady.

Miami Dolphins @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers, Sunday, October 10, 1:00 p.m.

The Dolphins person mislaid 3 consecutive and could easy beryllium 0-4. The Dolphins defense is allowing 388.3 yards and 27.3 points per game, some successful the NFL’s bottommost 10. They’ve fixed up astatine slightest 20 consecutive points 3 weeks successful a row.

Brady volition beryllium looking to marque it 4 weeks successful a row. Topping the Patriots gave him astatine slightest 1 triumph implicit every team successful the league. He besides acceptable the grounds for regular-season passing yards successful a career, surpassing Drew Brees. Brady leads the NFL successful passing yards this play with 1,356 and has tossed 10 TD passes against lone 2 interceptions.

“They [the Dolphins] person truthful galore problems close now,” according to Hartstein. “Brian Flores fundamentally saying everything is connected the table. Jacoby Brissett has since taking implicit for Tua been averaging 4.9 yards per attempt. They lone started going downfield precocious successful that game, erstwhile they were already 3 scores down to the Colts. So a batch of issues with the Dolphins offense. And I deliberation the 1 happening you got to look astatine is Byron Jones. He’s their champion corner. He near with a quad injury. If helium can’t spell against this Buccaneers team, which is loaded with walk catchers, with Mike Evans and [Chris] Godwin and Antonio Brown, it could beryllium a precise agelong time for the Dolphins.”

Buffalo Bills @ Kansas City Chiefs, Sunday, October 10, 8:20 p.m.

The Buffalo Bills caput to Kansas City for a rematch of past season’s AFC title game. The Chiefs won that game, but the Bills are playing amended shot this season. They are coming disconnected a 40-0 trouncing of the Texans. Buffalo, astatine 3-1, is the lone squad successful their part with a winning record. They’re averaging 33.5 points per game, 2nd champion successful the NFL on with the Chiefs. Kansas City, however, sits astatine 2-2 aft pugnacious losses to the Baltimore Ravens and Los Angeles Chargers.

“They [the Bills] person been the amended squad this twelvemonth clearly,” said Hartstein. “The Chiefs springiness up the astir yards per play successful the league, 6.9. The Bills springiness up the fewest, 4.0. The Bills invested successful their walk unreserved successful the draft. It’s paying off. They’re fig 2 successful unit rate. I deliberation they tin get a mates of stops connected Patrick Mahomes, marque him a small spot uncomfortable, truthful helium puts up lone successful the precocious 20s, possibly 30. And Buffalo has been unstoppable, 43 points, 40 points, 35 points their past 3 games. This discourtesy is what we thought it would be, truthful I’m decidedly leaning towards the Bills.”

The Kansas City defence volition person occupation slowing this Buffalo offense. They’re allowing 437.8 yards and 31.3 points per game, some 2nd worst successful the NFL. By comparison, the Bills defence is allowing 216.8 yards and 11 points per game, some tops successful the NFL. These stats don’t needfully mean Buffalo beryllium capable to dilatory down Patrick Mahomes and his speedy wide receivers, not to notation Travis Kelce. But it does springiness them a amended changeable astatine coming up with a fewer cardinal plays erstwhile it matters.

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